military has paused its airstrikes on Iran after nearly two weeks of intensifying bombing and Iran are at an inflection point in a mercurial conflict that will reach the five-month point Tuesday. President Donald Trump both has threatened more strikes and said talks are pressing on, all while brushing off concerns that rising gas prices tied to the fighting could hurt Republicans in November's midterm elections.Adding to the uncertainty is the impact of Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu's planned visit with Trump next week in Washington.
Israel, which launched the war alongside the U.S. 28, has been notably absent from the renewed American attacks over Iran's effective closure of the Strait of Hormuz, a vital shipping corridor through which 20% of the world's oil normally flows.“The Iranians understand that perhaps it could get worse because Israel could come into the conflict,” said Michael Singh, managing director at the Washington Institute for Near East Policy. On the other hand, Israel's lack of involvement so far “may signal to the Iranians that we’re looking to limit the conflict.”Singh, who was senior Middle East director on the National Security Council during the George W.
Bush administration, said he was hesitant to read too much into the lull in fighting.“If it turns into a multiday pause, that’ll be something significant,” he said. Is it a pause to allow for some kind of behind-the-scenes diplomacy?"Mediators keep pressing their diplomatic effortsA regional official involved in the mediation efforts said that concerted diplomacy was underway and that a pause in U.S. strikes and Iranian counterstrikes on neighboring countries hosting American forces was a “positive signal that helps their efforts to de-escalate.”The official said that both the U.S.
and Iran want to return to the interim ceasefire deal and that a compromise, which is being negotiated now, centers around having Iran run vessel transit through the Strait of Hormuz with fewer restrictions on ships. The official was not authorized to discuss the matter and spoke on condition of anonymity.Iran put a chokehold on the narrow Persian Gulf waterway when the war began b… But it remains to be seen whether the U.S.
Adding to the uncertainty is the impact of Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu’s planned visit with Trump next week in Washington. “The Iranians understand that perhaps it could get worse because Israel could come into the conflict,” said Michael Singh, managing director at the Washington Institute for Near East Policy. “If it turns into a multiday pause, that’ll be something significant,” he said.
Iran put a chokehold on the narrow Persian Gulf waterway when the wa…
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