ANALYSIS: We know the election poll numbers, but we can’t predict the turnout

Ahead of the local elections scheduled for 4 November, analysts are grappling with significant discrepancies in polling data. With various surveys producing conflicting results, the final outcomes in several key metropolitan areas remain unpredictable.

Because the polls fail to provide a consensus, the focus has shifted toward voter turnout as the decisive variable. Understanding the factors that will influence voter participation is now considered essential for determining the potential impact on the final election results.