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US-Iran: Why the cycle of war, talks, repeat?

Middle East 1 source 1 country 🔦 Under-reported 48m ago

# US-Iran Conflict: Pattern of Escalation and Diplomacy

The United States and Iran have fallen into a recurring cycle of military conflict followed by diplomatic negotiations. According to analysis from the German Marshall Fund of the US, this pattern reflects a strategic calculation by both sides regarding leverage in talks.

Carrie Lee of the German Marshall Fund argues that the persistence of this cycle stems from each side's belief that continued conflict strengthens their negotiating position. Rather than seeking sustained peace, both parties appear to view intermittent military escalation as a tool to gain advantage when returning to the negotiating table.

This dynamic has defined US-Iran relations for an extended period, with periods of heightened tension and military action alternating with diplomatic efforts. The underlying strategic motivation—that conflict enhances negotiating leverage—suggests the cycle is unlikely to break without a fundamental shift in how both parties approach resolution.

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